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Click here to go back to CONCONNECT home pageSHIP FINANCE- FREIGHT ECONOMICS-  DEAL STRUCTURES- RISK MANAGEMENT 
ABOUT US WRITING CALCS and INDEXATION DATA INTEGRATION and VISIONS
TANKER FFA

PRACTICAL MARITIME PROJECT ANALYSIS AND SHIPPING ECONOMICS

SERVING INVESTORS and SHIP FINANCE/ DEAL-MAKER CLIENTS   QUICK LINK TO CALCS/ FINANCE BROCHURE


Tanker economics is an important specialization. We've been involved in important projects deconstructing hires and rates for Eco-tankers, on the TC 2 and TC 14 routes, and developing triangulation calculations. We've presented to Tanker FFABA group at its 2013 annual meeting in Geneva, Suisse.

Hedge funds, Vulture Investors and Private equity funds are taking a close look at maritime investments. bdp1 Consulting Ltd has provided guidance to some of the leading financial players in the business. Shipowner clients also benefit from informed number-crunching. "Not just an MBA with a spreadsheet"

One client says, "Mr. Parker, you've made fuel escalations a profit centre for us."

MARITIME CALCULATIONS         MARITIME INDEXATION

bdp1 Consulting Ltd. is staffed by a group of people with years of operating and management backgrounds in the transportation business.  Our business intelligence assignments have let us englighten them about both qualitative and quantitative aspects of the  shipping business. We help our freight and finance clients optimize and smooth volatility, while increasing revenues and reducing costs. Most of the financial engineering assignments have involved the use of energy and/ or freight derivatives, offering powerful ways to better define, atomize, and manage risk.

We are still called upon for freight and finance assignments, and we analyze investments for transaction negotiation and management decision making. We have also studied the economics of facilities to support cost / benefit analysis. Hedge funds, private equity/ infrastructure players and the commercial banks, investment banks and others who serve them, have benefited from our insightful guidance.

Free stuff: THE JANUARY 2012 TANKER FFA REPORT- EXPECTATIONS DASHED (pdf will open in new window)

Free stuff: INFORMA AGRI-ECONOMICS PRESENTATION HERE (pdf will open in new window)
Free stuff: GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY BUSINESS SCHOOL PRESENTATION HERE (pdf will open in new window)

As we are prone to do, we use graphics to illustrate concepts- the images below show vessel pictures overlayed to evoke our mindset into the minds of potential clients, who routinely ask us questions about maritime economics.

Maritime Financial Engineering and Deal Structuring Analysis and Presentations re Maritime and Energy Supply and Demand

OUR EMPHASIS : CASH FLOW IS KING
In shipping projects, cash flows are the most critical concern- will there be enough cash available to service debts, to maintain required reserves, to reward equity investors with returns. We work with our clients to construct and present realistic scenarios.

-EXPERT WITNESS and litigation support for lawyers (was the ship really earning $44,000 per day?). We have assisted, as expert witness, in the valuation of both assets and freight markets at particular points in time.

-Freight market analysis for investment bankers (example: what is the market contour for product tankers in offshore trades?). Such earnings scenarios can then be input into both asset and company valuations.


Barry Parker's articles on topics such as ship finance, hedging strategies, and even "residual value futures" and ways to protect ship values, have been published widely. His work has supported the closing of numerous shipping transactions, the smooth running of maritime businesses and the forensic investigation into the arcane world of cash flows for maritime companies. 

We are called upon to develop freight and energy hedging strategies (as discussed in a separate page), and engineer and reverse engineer financial packages for shipping (tanker, drybulk, container, gas carriers).  We have worked on financial modelling  in  connection with  capital raises for both public and private markets.

WHAT ABOUT FORECASTING?
Forecasting is not our main emphasis- though some of our clients are heavily into forecasting. Our approach is to develop a variety of scenarios, emphasizing the downside (which may be rising prices, it depends on your role)- that's where you can get hurt. Therefore, we take the view that protecting the downside (worst case) scenario, perhaps with hedges, or simply through a tight overall deal structure, is the way to go. Even without explicit forecasting, clients find our market insights to be worthwhile.

Fun stuff: Barry Parker article on futures trading that appeared in Fairplay Magazine in late 1987, prior to the advent of FFAs. 
Phone 1 516 606 9088 The email address is   bdp1 at conconnect dot com Now on SKYPE 
 
Click the link to get to Barry Parker's biography